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House Down Payment vs Renting Analysis

Published: at 06:55 AMSuggest Changes

Let’s say I have IDR 200 million, It’s a good idea to use it as a down payment?

House Price

in Yogyakarta, you can have a decent home with a price of around 700.000.000

Calculate Mortgage

I will use the BTN rate for this calculation

  • 200.000.000 as a down payment
  • Tenor mortgage for 8 years
  • 6.75% fixed interest for 2 year
  • 13% floating interest for 6 years

Using the simulasi_kpr feature from BTN Properti I got

  • 2-year monthly installment: 5.864.026
  • 6-year monthly installment: 7.495.300

If we calculate monthly installment using averagely weighted we got

  • 7.291.391 monthly installment

Alternative: Use 200.000.000 as an investment

Future investment of 200.000.000

If I use 200.000.000 to invest with a yearly investment return of 15%, I got 611,804,573

Future Home Price

With assumption, the housing inflation rate at 6%, in 8 years (same with mortgage tenor). using the future value formula, the house price become 1,115,693,652

Monthly Save

  • Future House Price: 1,115,693,652
  • Future Investment: 611,804,573

Need to save: 503,889,080

Using the PMT formula with parameter

  • 15% yearly investment return
  • 8 years period

We got 3,059,030 targets monthly to save

Rent Price

I need to live somewhere right?

so if I go without a mortgage, I need to rent someplace, currently my monthly rent at 2.000.000, with the assumption monthly rate increase by 30% after 4 years, we got monthly rent at 2.600.000

so the average monthly rate in 8 years is 2.300.000

Monthly Payment

if we add monthly save and rent price we got 5,359,030

Conclusion

With assumption

  • House inflation: 6%
  • Return on investment: 15%
  • Mortgage fix 6.75% (2 Year)
  • Mortgage floating 13% (6 Year)

We got monthly expenses:

  • mortgage: 7.291.391
  • investment: 5,359,030

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